God is a Capitalist

Showing posts with label military spending. Show all posts
Showing posts with label military spending. Show all posts

Sunday, October 29, 2017

Trump's tax plan doesn't excite

Knowing my interest in economics, several people have asked me what I think of President Trump’s tax plan. From what I understand, the plan would reduce corporate taxes and the top rate on personal income taxes. Politicians will spend enormous energy debating, editing and refining this plan over the next several months, but it amounts to little more than rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.

My attitude infuriates Republican groupies who see the plan as the salvation of the country. But we old folks have seen it before. President Reagan slashed the top personal income tax rate from about 90% to around 35% and the economy took off like a rocket, or so Republicans keep telling themselves. In reality, the economy rebounded sharply from one of the worst recessions in the 20th century if we sum the 1981 and 1982 recession that six months separated. Together they were as bad as the “Great Recession” that began in 2008. If the Fed or the government don’t do something stupid, as Hoover did with the Smoot-Hawley tariff, entrepreneurs will always make the economy rebound sharply after such a deep recession.

Next, Reagan pumped billions of dollars into the economy with a massive military buildup in his poker game with the USSR. The military spending caused the budget deficit and federal debt to explode. Republicans had until then opposed deficit spending for long periods but learned to love it under Reagan and still seem to be very fond of it. Deficits and the debt don’t disturb anymore.